Analysis, South Asia, World

India’s Covid disaster: The masses are paying for the callousness of the Modi regime

India has been gripped by a new Coronavirus variant that has wreaked havoc in the second largest country on earth. On Saturday, May 1st, India became the first country in the world to cross the threshold of 400,000 daily new cases with 3,689 deaths. The grim picture of an elderly Indian woman with an oxygen cylinder on the road outside a hospital choked with Covid patients, with no more beds available, exposes the utterly criminal character of Indian ruling class regardless of party affiliation. The disastrous second wave of Covid-19 has dispelled the arrogance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi who in January this year boasted of having not only defeated Coronavirus but also saved the world.

In September last year a committee established by the Indian government to combat the pandemic published a report to the effect that India had already achieved herd immunity, and it was assumed that Indians were exceptional due to their genetics or prior exposure. The neo-Fascist Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) health minister even recommended consuming cow’s urine to cure the Coronavirus infection. Such idiotic assumptions, coupled with a broken health system mired in corporate greed, all contributed to the present mayhem which is further tormenting the already impoverished Covid-stricken Indian masses now languishing on the roads.

Crematoriums have been choked and run out of firewood due to ever increasing dead bodies being brought for cremations. The forest department has granted special permission to cut down trees to arrange wood for cremation. Parks and parking lots are being used as makeshift crematoriums.

According to a Reuters report, Indian scientists had already warned the government in early March of a new and more contagious variant of Coronavirus spreading in the country, but the government paid no heed to the warnings and instead continued with the foolish assumption that India had already defeated the virus. Despite being the largest producer of vaccine in the world, the country is still lagging behind in vaccination with just 11 per cent of the population vaccinated so far.

On the one hand the country is reeling from acute shortages of all medical facilities, including oxygen supply; on the other the BJP-ruled state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the worst affected, is reporting “all is well” and has threatened anyone reporting the lack of medical facilities in hospitals with arrests and legal action. The BJP goons are silencing every voice questioning their criminal negligence. The right-wing fascist Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) has issued a statement warning that “destructive and anti-Bharat forces in society can take advantage of these circumstances to create an atmosphere of negativity and mistrust in the country”. It further asked the media to foster a “positive atmosphere”.

Many media outlets and their ground reporters have questioned the authenticity of official numbers of daily infections and death, claiming them to be absolute underestimation. Interviews from workers of cremation grounds, where fire never stops these days, in different parts of the country paint a wholly different picture. It is believed that the hospitals in collusion with or under pressure from the government are under-reporting the death toll. Bhramar Mukherjee, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan who has been following India closely said, “It’s a complete massacre of data. From all the modelling we have done, we believe the true number of deaths is two to five times what is being reported.”

The current wave of Covid-19 has throttled the already broken healthcare system of India. In the name of reforms consecutive Congress and BJP governments both kept dismantling the already meager healthcare infrastructure that existed. Officially, India spends 1.25 per cent of its GDP on healthcare, but according to the research conducted by Dipa Sinha of Ambedkar University Delhi, this figure is misleading, and the real figure stands at a measly 0.34 of GDP. In the same research, India ranks 145 out of 180 countries on quality and access to healthcare and 179 of 189 countries prioritization of health in its government budget.

From 1990, when neoliberal economic reforms began, to 2010 public health spending stagnated between 0.9 per cent to 1.2 per cent of GDP. These reforms and subsequent privatization of the health sector have proven to be a nightmare for the poverty-stricken population. A Lancet study in 2016 showed that 78 per cent of the healthcare in urban areas and 71 per cent in rural areas are now controlled by the private sector.

The privatization of healthcare has led to skyrocketing health costs. According to one estimate, 40 per cent of people who are hospitalized are submerged into lifelong debt or pushed below the poverty line, due to the high costs of medicines and treatment. India’s Economic Survey in 2013 estimated that every year the high cost of health expenses forced 39 million people into poverty. In 2017, Out-Of-Pocket (OOP) health expenditures drove 55 million people into poverty.

The priorities of the Hindu fundamentalist BJP government have been exposed by Indian activist Aundhati Roy,

There is no hospital in Kevadia. There’s only the Statue of Unity, built in the likeness of the freedom fighter and first deputy prime minister of India, Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel…. At 182 meters high, it’s the tallest statue in the world and cost US$422m.

Ever since the beginning of the pandemic, the right-wing BJP government, instead of fighting the virus with emergency health measures, has been manipulating the pandemic as a divisive tool for its communal politics. Muslims were held responsible for the spread of Coronavirus. They were routinely harassed and taunted. The BJP officials openly labelled Muslims as “human bombs” and accused them of a “corona jihad”. The sheer sectarian nature of the Indian government was laid bare when, despite all warnings from health experts, it allowed the Hindu religious festival of Kumbh Mela beside the river Ganges where more than 3 million people converged from all across India. Medical experts are of the opinion that this festival might have fueled the spike in new Covid-19 cases. These conventional divisive tactics are meant to hide the sheer incompetence, negligence and the indifference of the Indian ruling class toward the plight of the masses. They are more concerned with the profits of corporations and big businesses who are the real forces that brought Modi to power.

India had enough time to prepare for the second wave and make necessary arrangements. Instead of preparations and improving healthcare facilities for future pandemics, the Indian Prime Minister declared victory over Coronavirus and put the nation in a celebratory mode. In January this year, while speaking at a virtual meeting of the World Economic Forum, he claimed, “In a country which is home to 18 per cent of the world population, that country has saved humanity from a big disaster by containing corona effectively.” The BJP passed a resolution in February praising Modi for his “leadership for introducing India to the world as a proud and victorious nation in the fight against COVID-19. It can be said with pride that India defeated COVID-19 under the able, sensitive, committed, and visionary leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi.”

The sheer nonsensical and reckless leadership of the largest “democracy” in the world is actually an expression of the deep crisis of Indian capitalism. There was a time when Indian capitalism was led by the likes of Jawaharlal Nehru who had at least a semblance of bourgeois aspirations to develop India into a modern capitalist state. But according to Leon Trotsky’s Theory of Permanent Revolution, the bourgeoisie of the colonial or ex-colonial countries are utterly incapable of developing the society and carrying out the bourgeois democratic tasks of bourgeois revolutions due to their historical lateness. Over the decades, India has sunk further into economic inequality and social crisis. Despite official figures of economic growth, poverty and misery have deepened in the last decade. According to an Oxfam India report from January 2020, the richest 1 percent in India possesses more than four-times the wealth held by 70 percent (953 million) of the country’s population. The sheer wealth gap is a recipe for chronic social crisis.

The rise of the BJP is an indication that the Indian bourgeoisie has lost the battle for the establishment of a modern capitalist state. The ruling class is more than ever reliant on instigating religious hatred to perpetuate their crisis-ridden rule. Initially, the pandemic seemed to give the Modi government a lease on life by providing an excuse to crush the mass movement against the discriminatory Citizen Amendment Act (CAA)—which excludes Muslims from neighboring countries from gaining Indian citizenship—but now the same pandemic is exposing the callous attitude of this neo-fascist government. The Indian working class has always displayed their will and power to change society, but the traditional left leadership has failed them time and again by failing to provide a program of socialist overthrow of capitalism in India. But only a socialist overthrow of Indian capitalism can put an end to the rule of criminal capitalists who are an impediment to the development of society.

Courtesy Asian Marxist Review

Hassan Jan is a member of Pakistan Trade Union Defence Campaign (PTUDC).